Race-by-race preview and tips for Hawkesbury on Saturday
Race 5 – 2:10pm: KILLAHY EQUINE HAWKESBURY CROWN (1300m)
Would be all but declaring 5. Athiri had this been 1200m. It’s the only little niggle. Not so much that she won’t get the trip, as she was only nosed out by subsequent G1 winner Krone over 1300m the last time we saw her at the races, but being first up might leave her a touch vulnerable late. Otherwise, we are looking at a mare that has won four of her past six starts, with three of those by impressive margins, and she is versatile enough to take full advantage of the lack of speed here. Loved the way she trialled recently at Hawkesbury too. 8. Wandabaa is banging down the door to win her eighth race. Handles all tracks but would need a downpour to promote her to top pick.
How to play it: Athiri to win.
Race 6 – 2:45pm: HAWKESBURY XXXX GOLD RUSH (1100m)
This is a big ask of 1. Special Reward first up with 60kg over 1100m but first up last preparation he was nailed on the line by Roheryn and Probabeel in the G3 Show County with 58kg. A repeat of that level of performance sees him in the finish again. The market will perhaps be our best guide as to how forward he is ahead of his return. There are so many different ways to go in this race, so went looking for the horse that should get the right run. Came back to Special Reward.
10. Inanup rarely runs a bad race yet the market will always let you on. Goes well fresh (7:3-1-0) and loves the 1100m trip (13:5-2-0).
How to play it: Special Reward towin.
Race 7 – 3:25pm: BLACKTOWN WORKERS CLUB GROUP HAWKESBURY GUINEAS (1400m)
3. Ellsberg has the makings of a very handy horse. He was never in any danger of losing first up at Randwick after Tim Clark rode theperfect race in front. He got a mid-race breather before accelerating clear turning for home. If he runs up to either of those performances, he’ll win again, and just as comfortably. He did get control in both of those peaks. Does he get that here? Maybe not, but it’s hard to ignore the fact that he’s currently the best horse in the race and his record on good tracks reads 4:3-0-1. If Ellsberg puts a foot wrong or the leaders happen to overdo it early, look out for 5. Rainbow Connection. This is an equally talented miler in the making.
How to play it: Ellsberg to win.
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Race 8 – 4:05pm: EVERGREEN TURF HAWKESBURY GOLD CUP (1600m)
7. Royal Celebration never got a crack at his rivals first up when ninth behind Starspangled Rodeo before travelling deep throughout last Saturday. The five-year-old shouldn’t be left with any excuses in this, however. He draws to get the run of the race behind what should be a genuine tempo, carries 55kg and peaks third up on the quick turnaround. It’s generally after a couple of runs that he finds his best form. 2. Archedemus is building towards another win and his two runs back have been much better than they read on paper. The problem is he won’t get control with 1. Greysful Glamour and 9. Surreal Image both drawn inside of him.
How to play it: Royal Celebration to win.
Race 9 – 4:45pm HAPPY 70TH EVELYN BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1300m)
8. Vitesse will make her own luck and like the booking of Nash Rawiller for this front-running mare. She is yet to win first up in six attempts but she has gone close on two occasions so that record is a touch misleading. Can’t see a stack of speed engaged so she’ll settle in the first three, if not lead herself, and give a sight. 6. Grande Rumore was chasing a long way from home at her Australian debut yet overcame the tight track and 1200m. It’ll pay to follow her but she only gets an extra 100m and barrier 2 could be problematic if she’s allowed to drift back again. 14. What Could Be is the blowout.
How to play it: Vitesse each-way.
Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au.
Source: | This article originally belongs to smh.com.au
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